EUR/USD is stalling at a key short-term resistance around 1.38 as the market anticipates the FOMC meeting minutes, to be released at 2:00PM ET.Resistance factors:1) 1.3820 is a previous resistance pivot, and was a common resistance going back to Oct. 2013.2) Falling channel resistance coming down from the 1.3966, 2014-high.3) 4H oscillators overbought. (eurusd 4h chart, 4/9)A break above 1.3820 opens up 1.3875, then the 1.3950-1.3966 highs.A break below 1.3775 however maintains the short-term bearish mode and suggests there is still downside risk toward 1.3640-1.3650.This downside risk is in the context of a prevailing uptrend that remains intact if price holds above the 1.3640-1.3650 area, which is supported by a previous pivot and a rising channel support.